See all those new units going up around town? They’ll soon be for rent. So, although Los Angeles apartment owners will continue to enjoy relatively tight vacancy in 2014, new construction will be applying pressure on operations in the western stretches of the county by the end of the year.
The new canyons of Marina del Rey are something to ponder as research firms like Marcus & Millichap expect top-tier rental demand to be lower than the pace of construction. New apartment development around Los Angeles will see 6,000 rentals finished – a 0.6% stock gain for the 2nd year in a row.
A plethora of high priced units are expected to lift the overall vacancy rate around town and push management to offer concessions to attract elite renters. It is anticipated that vacancy rates will rise 4.3% this year. By year-end 2014, effective rents will reach $1,726 per month, an annual rise of 1.2%.
Expect job growth in the county to accelerate bringing overall payrolls within reach of the pre-recession level for the first time in 7 years…so tenants can hypothetically afford those lofty rents…or not so much. ..
Rents in L.A. are close to a mortgage payment. Investment savvy Millennials who don’t have a half-million to spend living at the beach are going east to Culver City, Mar Vista and the historic Village Green – owning their homes, building their financial portfolios. Los Angeles zip codes like 90034, 90066, 90025, 90230, 90016 and 90046 are well-located equity-building locations.
For investors, average cap rates are near historical lows, which means we could see more inventory; but keep in mind, the current West Side buying frenzy is attributable to unproductive alternative investment vehicles rather than property fundamentals. An abundance of cash, fear of a stock market correction, and low interest rates favor the acquisition of low-yielding apartments. When interest rates move higher, the experts expect investors to rethink the current strategy and explore alternative options.
Additionally, first-time investors are drooling to get into the Silicon Beach multifamily market, and are willing to accept early returns below 5% in long-term hold plays.
Stiff competition is driving desirable buildings are going into multiple offer scenarios, driving down cap rates, leaving many investors reliant on Southern California real estate renowned rapid appreciation.
For more information please contact Jodi Summers and the SoCal Investment Real Estate Group @ Sotheby’s International Realty – or 310.392.1211, and let us move forward together.